Here’s another week of college football picks against the spread for top-25 teams! In week one, I went 11-9 (55%). If you have any questions tweet at me @Dylan_Burd!
Friday, September 7th
#16 TCU @ SMU, 8:00 PM (TCU -22.5)
Outlook: It’s a battle of Texas at SMU Friday night, and it’s not going to work out too well for the Mustangs. SMU is coming off a 23-point loss to North Texas, and looks absolutely nowhere near ready to play TCU, who might be ranked a bit too low at 16. TCU will win this game by 24-30 points, and cover the spread.
The Pick: TCU
Saturday, September 8th
#5 Wisconsin vs. New Mexico, 12:00 PM (Wisconsin -35.0)
Outlook: Wisconsin is definitely a top-five team in the nation. Their elite offensive line and running game combined with a solid defense is going to be extremely tough to beat. However, this team is very unlike other top teams in college football. Wisconsin is rarely going to blow a team out by 40 points, just because they run the ball so much. They beat Western Kentucky 34-3 and I expect a similar result vs. New Mexico, who’s coming off a 32-point win vs. Incarnate Word.
The Pick: New Mexico
#18 Mississippi State @ Kansas State, 12:00 PM (Miss State -8.0)
Outlook: The Bulldogs and Joe Moorhead get starting quarterback Nick Fitzgerald back this week, and I expect that to help them dominate Kansas State. Kansas State only beat South Dakota by 3 points in week one, and aren’t supposed to be anything special this year. I think they’ll have a very hard time trying to stop the high-powered offense of Mississippi State. I think Mississippi State takes this game by 17-21 points.
The Pick: Mississippi State
#21 Michigan vs. Western Michigan, 12:00 PM (Michigan -27.5)
Outlook: Michigan didn’t look great at all last Saturday in South Bend. While I think they’ll bounce back and dominate at home vs. Western Michigan on Saturday afternoon, I don’t think they’ll win by 28 points. Western Michigan scored 42 points vs. Syracuse in week one and lost. I think they’ll score at least 14-17 against Michigan, and I’m not trusting the Michigan offense to score at least 45 points. They’re just not that type of team on offense. They’ll win by 21-24 points and miss the cover.
The Pick: Western Michigan
#6 Oklahoma vs. UCLA, 1:00 PM (Oklahoma -30.0)
Outlook: I picked FAU last week as 21-point underdogs against Oklahoma, and was terribly wrong. This Sooners team is a lot better than I anticipated. Kyler Murray is an absolute stud, as he led Oklahoma to a 63-14 win in week one. Expect more of the same from Oklahoma against a very disappointing UCLA team, who just lost to Cincinnati last week. Oklahoma could easily be a College Football Playoff team again this year, and I think they’ll win this game by 35-40 points.
The Pick: Oklahoma
#12 Virginia Tech vs. William & Mary, 2:00 PM (Spread Not Yet Available)
#23 Oregon vs. Portland State, 2:00 PM (Spread Not Available)
#1 Alabama vs. Arkansas State, 3:30 PM (Alabama -36.5)
Outlook: I wasn’t all aboard the Tua Tagovailoa hype train until I watch him play in the first half of last week’s Alabama-Louisville game. Tua made it clear that the National Championship was no fluke. This guy is already a top-three quarterback in college football. He’s like a lefty Russell Wilson. Alabama beat Louisville by 37 last week, so I don’t think they’ll have an issue winning by that margin again. Give me Bama against the spread.
The Pick: Alabama
#3 Georgia @ #24 South Carolina, 3:30 PM (Georgia -10.0)
Outlook: This is easily the best game of the week in my opinion. South Carolina has a chance to make noise early in the season, as they take on the George Bulldogs at home. I had a really tough time deciding on who I was going to pick in this game because I really think South Carolina is a good team. I just think Georgia is too much for them. Georgia is once again a National Championship caliber team. South Carolina is also extremely talented with Jake Bentley and Deebo Samuel, but they’re an 8 or 9-win team, not an 11-win team. I think Georgia wins this game by two touchdowns, in a game that is close into the fourth quarter.
The Pick: Georgia
#4 Ohio State vs. Rutgers, 3:30 PM (Ohio State -34.5)
Outlook: Ohio State is my lock of the week once again coming off a game where they put up 77 points vs. Oregon State at home. In 2017, Ohio State beat Rutgers 56-0, and while Rutgers has improved since last year, there’s no way they’re 22 points better. Ohio State will put up 50+ again on Rutgers, and demolish them at home. Give me the Buckeyes in an easy cover.
The Pick: Ohio State
#8 Notre Dame vs. Ball State, 3:30 PM (Notre Dame -34.5)
Outlook: Notre Dame looked pretty solid against Michigan in week one, coming away with a 24-17 win at home. Compared to Michigan’s defense, Ball State’s defense will look like Swiss cheese. This is going to be an absolute rout, as Ball State was a team that went 2-10 last season as members of the Mid-American Conference. There isn’t even much else to write here. The Fighting Irish will cover easily.
The Pick: Notre Dame
#9 Washington vs. North Dakota, 5:00 PM (Spread Not Available Yet)
#22 Miami vs. Savannah State, 6:00 PM (Spread Not Available Yet)
#14 West Virginia vs. Youngstown State, 6:00 PM (Spread Not Available Yet)
#19 UCF vs. South Carolina State, 6:00 PM (Spread Not Available Yet)
#11 LSU vs. SE Louisiana, 7:00 PM (Spread Not Available Yet)
#2 Clemson @ Texas A&M, 7:00 PM (Clemson -12.0)
Outlook: This should be another fun game to watch, as Dabo Swinney and the Clemson Tigers visit College Station. Both teams had dominating wins in week one over cupcake opponents. I think Clemson has a huge advantage in this game, as it looks like Texas A&M will look to run the ball a lot this year. In week one, Aggies running back Trayveon Williams had 240 yards and 3 touchdowns. Nothing like that will happen this week as the Clemson Tigers have an NFL defensive line. Clemson also has two extremely solid quarterbacks to run their offense, while Texas A&M’s quarterback situation is somewhat a question mark right now. I think that Clemson wins this game by 17-21 points.
The Pick: Clemson
#7 Auburn vs. Alabama State, 7:30 PM (Spread Not Available Yet)
#25 Florida vs. Kentucky, 7:30 PM (Florida -13.5)
Outlook: I’m surprised Florida is even ranked right now. They only won four games last season, and beat Charleston Southern in week one. Kentucky isn’t a bad team, and beat Central Michigan by 15 points in week one. While Florida will probably win this game, it will be a close one, and I think the Wildcats cover.
The Pick: Kentucky
#13 Penn State vs. Pittsburgh, 8:00 PM (Penn State -8.5)
Outlook: Penn State looked absolutely horrendous in week one as they beat Appalachian State in overtime. The Nittany Lion defense allowed 38 points, and 400 yards. On the bright side for Penn State, Pitt is probably a worse team than Appalachian State, as their defense allowed 400 yards to FCS Albany in week one. I expect this to be close for most of the game, but Penn State will win by 10-14 points and cover the spread.
The Pick: Penn State
#10 Stanford vs. #17 USC, 8:30 PM (Stanford -6.0)
Outlook: I’m not on the USC train this year as they’re starting a true freshman quarterback (J.T Daniels) who was supposed to be a senior in high school this year before reclassifying to the 2018 class. Stanford had a solid win against a respectable San Diego State team, and I think they easily win this game vs. the Trojans at home by 10-14 points.
The Pick: Stanford
#20 Boise State vs. UConn, 10:15 PM (Boise State -31.5)
Outlook: UConn looked so unbelievably bad as they lost by 39 points to UCF in week one. Boise State destroyed Troy by 36 points in week one, and Troy is probably a better team than UConn. Boise State should have absolutely no problem covering 31.5 points on Saturday.
The Pick: Boise State
#15 Michigan State vs. Arizona State, 10:45 PM (Michigan State -5.5)
Outlook: Everyone wants to pick Arizona State as a trendy upset pick this week, but let’s be real, Michigan State is a much better team. Sure, the Spartans started off the season slow by barely beating Utah State at home, but they’ll rebound this week. Their starters have a ton of experience, and Michigan State will wind up being a really good team this year. Arizona State looked really good in week one, winning 49-7, but I just don’t think they’re at the level they need to be at yet to beat Michigan State. This Sun Devils were only a 7-win team in 2017. They’re on their way, but not there yet. Give me the Sparty with the points.
The Pick: Michigan State